Group C — State of the Race

Vibe Padel Tour · Liga 2 · BPK · post Kolo 9 · 28 of 45 matches played

6–0
Record
★ 1st in group
12
Points
+39 games · leader
99.3%
P(top 2)
play-off + promotion
91%
P(1st)
nearly locked

Kolo by Kolo — who passed who

Y axis: position. Lines cross when one team passes another. Red = Zakharov / Solar · Blue = Đorđević / Leposavić.

2026-05-10T19:05:38.892722 image/svg+xml Matplotlib v3.9.4, https://matplotlib.org/ K1 K2 K3 K4 K5 K6 K7 K8 K9 1° 2° 3° 4° 5° 6° 7° 8° 9° 10° Zakharov / Solar 12 pts · Elo 1591 Đorđević / Leposavić 11 pts · Elo 1550 Zujalović / Kovač 10 pts · Elo 1533 Vasić / Pavićević 10 pts · Elo 1496 Marković / Tasovac 9 pts · Elo 1498 Mijić / Žarković 8 pts · Elo 1509 Milanović / Varićak 7 pts · Elo 1473 Andrić / Pavlović 6 pts · Elo 1444 Bojović / Božinović 6 pts · Elo 1484 Grubač / Mitrović 5 pts · Elo 1421 TOP 2

Standings — post Kolo 9

Reconstruction matches the official API exactly.

#TeamPWSGPts
1 ★ Zakharov / Solar 6 6 +12 +39 12
2 Đorđević / Leposavić 6 5 +7 +13 11
3 Zujalović / Kovač 6 4 +4 +19 10
4 Vasić / Pavićević 7 3 -1 +9 10
5 Marković / Tasovac 6 3 +1 +18 9
6 Mijić / Žarković 5 3 +1 +2 8
7 Milanović / Varićak 5 2 -3 -15 7
8 Andrić / Pavlović 5 1 -5 -11 6
9 Bojović / Božinović 5 1 -6 -31 6
10 Grubač / Mitrović 5 0 -10 -43 5

Probabilities

Monte Carlo: 20,000 simulations of remaining matches.

2026-05-10T19:05:38.958101 image/svg+xml Matplotlib v3.9.4, https://matplotlib.org/ 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Zakharov / Solar 99.3% 90.6% Đorđević / Leposavić 67.2% 7.8% Zujalović / Kovač 24.7% 1.3% Mijić / Žarković 5.4% 0.2% Marković / Tasovac 3.3% 0.1% Milanović / Varićak 0.1% 0.0% Vasić / Pavićević 0.0% 0.0% Andrić / Pavlović 0.0% 0.0% Grubač / Mitrović 0.0% 0.0% Bojović / Božinović 0.0% 0.0% P(top 2) P(1st)

Elo Ratings — trajectory

Model: K=24, replay from Kolo 1, all teams start at 1500. 6-0 6-0 forfeits excluded.

2026-05-10T19:05:39.031595 image/svg+xml Matplotlib v3.9.4, https://matplotlib.org/ start K1 K2 K3 K4 K5 K6 K7 K8 K9 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 Elo rating Zakharov / Solar 1591 Đorđević / Leposavić 1550 Zujalović / Kovač 1533 Vasić / Pavićević 1496 Marković / Tasovac 1498 Mijić / Žarković 1509 Milanović / Varićak 1473 Andrić / Pavlović 1444 Bojović / Božinović 1484 Grubač / Mitrović 1421

Remaining matches — 3 to go

Win probability per opponent.

Vasić / Pavićević
Elo 1496 · 10 pts · 3–4
63%
Bojović / Božinović
Elo 1484 · 6 pts · 1–4
65%
Milanović / Varićak
Elo 1473 · 7 pts · 2–3
66%

Key moments

Kolo 9 — 08.05
Zakharov / Solar 6-2 6-2 vs Đorđević
Took down the #1 rival decisively, coin-flip resolved. P(top 2) jumps from 80% to 99.3% overnight.
Kolo 9 — second match
Zakharov / Solar 7-6 6-4 vs Marković
Tired vs a fresh opponent, won anyway. Perfect 6-0 record.
Forfeits detected
5 matches with 6-0 6-0 scores
The model excludes them from Elo. 4 of 5 involve Vasić — likely team availability issues.
Looking ahead
3 remaining matches, all favorable
Head-to-head win vs Đorđević protects 1st place even on a points tie.